More than 150,000 Marylanders participated in the first day of the state’s early voting period, about 3.3% of the more than 4.5 million registered voters in Maryland. While we don’t yet know how they voted, we know a little about who voted, and where.
About 51% of Day 1 voters on Thursday were registered Democrats, compared to nearly 35% Republicans. Early turnout data suggest Republicans turned out at a slightly higher rate, though the sample size is small. Statewide, more than 53% of registered voters are Democrats, and nearly 24% Republicans. This is according to early voting data from the Maryland State Board of Elections.
Republicans turned out at higher rates than Dems on day 1 of early voting.
Far more registered Democrats cast ballots, however.
Source: Maryland State Board of Elections • Ramsey Archibald/The Baltimore Banner
Republicans turned up at higher rates on the earliest day of voting in 21 of 24 Maryland counties. The widest margin was in Calvert County, where about 8% of registered Republican voters cast ballots on day 1, compared to just 4.8% of Democrats.
Where are registered Democrats, Republicans voting early?
Baltimore City and Prince George's county saw the largest Democratic advantage on day one.
Source: Maryland State Board of Elections • Ramsey Archibald/The Baltimore Banner
While Republicans overall turned out at higher rates, they are outnumbered in Maryland overall. About 25,000 more registered Democrats voted on day 1 than registered Republicans.
It’s difficult to compare this year’s early voting numbers to the 2020 presidential election because of the effect the COVID-19 pandemic had on voting. But in 2016, Democrats had a higher turnout in early voting than Republicans.
Early voters were also, in general, older. About 45% of day 1 votes were case by voters 65 or older, and 82% were 45 or older. Just around 3% were between 18 and 24. The majority of them were women, by a margin of about 55% to 45%.
Women showed up early in nearly all Maryland counties, only outnumbered by men in Allegany County, and just barely.
When looking at young voters — those between 18 and 24, a sample of about 4,600 votes across the state — voting patterns by gender range widely. About two-thirds of young voters in Garrett County, for example, were men. On the other extreme, nearly 60% of early voters in Somerset County were women. Among larger counties, Baltimore City had the highest share of young female voters, at more than 55%. But even the city had just over 100 such voters.
Statewide, about 58% of registered female voters are registered as Democrats, compared to 46% of men. On the first day of voting, about 57% of women who cast ballots were registered Democrats vs. 44% for men.
It’s important to remember these numbers are a very small sample, and not a random sample.
Early voting will last through Oct. 31.
Correction: This story has been updated to account for every person who cast a vote on the first day of early voting. A prior analysis treated groups of people as individuals, drastically undercounting the total number of ballots cast.
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