Maryland’s electoral votes went to Vice President Kamala Harris in the November election, but many reliably blue communities shifted to Donald Trump, who will be inaugurated Monday.

A Baltimore Banner analysis of official precinct-level voting returns found Trump performed better in the 2024 presidential election than he did during the 2020 election in 76% of Maryland communities. That included vast swaths of Maryland’s most reliably blue communities along the Interstate 95 corridor.

Most communities in the Baltimore area, including the city’s Black Butterfly, moved toward Trump. In communities with large Jewish and Hispanic populations, the swing was particularly pronounced. Whiter, more affluent communities leaned more heavily toward Democrats.

Not every trend held up statewide. The U.S. Census does not track religious affiliation, so we cannot say how all communities with large Jewish populations voted.

White, affluent communities shifted slightly toward Trump but still far less than the Maryland average. The size of a given community’s white population correlated with a small shift toward Trump.

The size of the Hispanic population in any given community had the strongest relationship with a shift toward Trump over 2020.

The average Maryland neighborhood swung 1.6 percentage points in Trump’s direction. Neighborhoods where 25% or more of the population is Hispanic shifted 5.1 percentage points toward Trump.

This analysis doesn’t refer to precincts because the ones from 2020 do not match the precincts from 2024. We approximated vote counts from each precinct to Census tracts based on how much they overlapped with each other.

The last time we mapped precinct-level results, no one had compiled computer-readable maps for every Maryland county. This one was provided to The Banner by a freelance political analyst who converted PDFs into this digital map.