The Ravens know what they need in Week 18 next weekend to repeat as AFC North champions: a home victory against the flailing Cleveland Browns or a Cincinnati Bengals road win over the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Less certain is which AFC team might come to Baltimore for a potential wild-card-round playoff game.

After Wednesday’s win over the Houston Texans, the Ravens (11-5) have about 93% odds of earning the AFC’s No. 3 seed, according to The New York Times’ playoff simulator. The Los Angeles Chargers (10-6) and Steelers (10-6) are the most likely No. 6 seeds and would stand in their way of a potential divisional-round road game against the Buffalo Bills (12-3).

Pittsburgh, because of its Week 3 win over the Chargers, has the inside track to the No. 5 seed. As the AFC’s top wild-card team, it would get a road playoff game against the AFC South champion Houston Texans (9-7), whom the Ravens pummeled on Christmas Day. But the Steelers have lost three straight games, all to playoff-bound teams, and will be hosting the still-alive Bengals (8-8) in Week 18.

The Chargers, meanwhile, have won two straight games, including a crucial Week 16 home matchup with the wild-card-contending Denver Broncos, and will face the downtrodden Las Vegas Raiders on the road in their regular-season finale.

If Pittsburgh and the Chargers both win in Week 18, while the Ravens take care of business against Cleveland, the Steelers would get the No. 5 seed. If Pittsburgh loses and the Chargers win, the Chargers would get the No. 5 seed. If the Steelers and Chargers both lose, Pittsburgh would get the No. 5 seed. The Ravens have beaten both teams, though they also lost in Pittsburgh in Week 11.

If the Ravens don’t win the AFC North, they could fall no further than the No. 5 seed, setting up a rematch with the Texans in Houston. If the Ravens win in the wild-card round as the No. 5 seed, along with the AFC’s second- and third-seeded teams, they would face the top-seeded Kansas City Chiefs (15-1) at Arrowhead Stadium in the divisional round.