The third-seeded Ravens will face the second-seeded Buffalo Bills at 8 p.m. Sunday in Orchard Park, New York. Here are game predictions for their AFC divisional-round game from The Baltimore Banner’s sports staff.
Read More
Big-boy battle
Kyle Goon, columnist: The Ravens like to unleash a punishing run game behind a physical line. The Bills like to unleash a punishing run game behind a physical line. When you look at the pass/rush yardage splits for both offenses in their wild-card wins, you realize how similar their paths to winning look. But the problem for Buffalo, which still is a problem even though its defense is healthier, is it seems inevitable that the Ravens will force it out of the nickel packages that serve as its defensive bedrock. It’s hard to tackle Derrick Henry without stuffing the box.
The reason I believe it could be close is Josh Allen’s play-extending ability. Baltimore’s defense was slightly exposed against Pittsburgh, and even great coverage holds up only if the quarterback goes down on the first tackle attempt (which rarely happens with Allen). But the Ravens’ run game looks like such an advantageous matchup that it’s hard not to pick Baltimore to win again. Assuming the Ravens take care of the ball as well as they did in the regular season, it feels like they’ll prevail even in the frigid road conditions.
Ravens 35, Bills 28
The Baltimore Banner thanks its sponsors. Become one.
Let the run game roll
Giana Han, reporter: So now teams have seen what Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson can do together. But the NFL has known for ages how great they both are. That doesn’t mean teams can stop them. Josh Allen and his crew are strong, and I worry about him picking on this secondary. But, if it comes down to a shootout, I think Jackson and Henry prevail, even against a healthier Bills defense. This is postseason Henry — and he’s helping Jackson rewrite his own playoff narrative.
Ravens 35, Bills 30
Watch out for the weather
Jonas Shaffer, reporter: The Ravens have the better offense, the better defense and the better quarterback. They might even have the better kicker. But the margins in every category are slim, and Highmark Stadium is a fortress for Buffalo. The greatest variable here will be the weather. Lamar Jackson and the Ravens have won two straight playoff games in subfreezing temperatures, beating the Houston Texans last year and the Pittsburgh Steelers this year, but Sunday night’s game will be a new level of cold. Can Jackson make every pass? Will every read option exchange wth Derrick Henry be smooth? How much more difficult will catches, tackles and audibles be? The Bills’ experience in arctic conditions could give them a slight edge.
Bills 27, Ravens 24
Justice is served
Paul Mancano, “Banner Ravens Podcast” co-host: Anyone remember who led the Ravens in receptions and receiving yards when they stomped the Bills in Week 4? The answer is Justice Hill, who reeled in six catches for 78 yards. Of course, Baltimore did the bulk of its damage on the ground that night, rushing for 271 yards en route to a 35-10 victory. But, as the Ravens prepare for the possibility of playing another postseason game without No. 1 wideout Zay Flowers, it’s a good reminder that this offense can get production in a variety of ways. Lamar Jackson might not have his full complement of weapons Sunday, but he should keep the train rolling.
The Baltimore Banner thanks its sponsors. Become one.
Ravens 26, Bills 23 (OT)
Back to the AFC championship
Brandon Weigel, editor: We can’t read too much into the Ravens’ 35-10 beatdown of the Bills in Week 4. Buffalo was without All-Pro linebacker Matt Milano, starting linebacker Terrel Bernard and slot cornerback Taron Johnson, and Baltimore jumped out to such an early lead that the Bills could never establish their running game with James Cook. All three defenders are back, helping the Bills win nine of their last 11 games in the regular season (one of those losses came in Week 18 with Mitch Trubisky starting at quarterback).
Even with those pieces back, Buffalo has played some real shootouts in a couple of its most recent meaningful games, surrendering 44 points to the Rams and 42 to the Lions, both playoff teams. Sure, Buffalo looked dominant in the wild-card round against an overwhelmed Denver Broncos team led by a rookie quarterback. But this Ravens offense is too proficient and hasn’t shown signs of slowing down, and this defense has done everything right since moving Kyle Hamilton to deep safety in Week 11. The Ravens are better equipped to handle the Bills than they were in Week 4, when they were 1-2 entering the game and still trying to find their identity. This version of the Ravens will move on to the AFC championship game.
Ravens 30, Bills 24
Comments
Welcome to The Banner's subscriber-only commenting community. Please review our community guidelines.